| praxis22 ( |
I suspect the generic answer is "sentiment" after Moody's put the UK of negative outlook, there is a suspicion that the "read across" will mean the same for the USA, given that both are heavily tied to the markets, in NY & London, massive consumer debts, and a bust housing boom, all supported by massive government borrowing.
Foreign demand for bonds is still fairly solid. But from what I've seen the demographic is changing. China are switching from T-Bills to bonds, etc.
I'd certainly do lots of research on this if I were you, I don't pay much attention to the currency markets, and they're a rule to themselves, so my hunches may be well wide of the mark.
As for the recovery, it'll be a long while coming, the reasons for this is the massive debt overhang, rising unemployment, and a housing market which has a way to go yet until it gets near bottom. What we've seen so far is "stabilisation" things have stopped getting worse at such a frightening rate, but were years away from real economic recovery IMO.
Foreign demand for bonds is still fairly solid. But from what I've seen the demographic is changing. China are switching from T-Bills to bonds, etc.
I'd certainly do lots of research on this if I were you, I don't pay much attention to the currency markets, and they're a rule to themselves, so my hunches may be well wide of the mark.
As for the recovery, it'll be a long while coming, the reasons for this is the massive debt overhang, rising unemployment, and a housing market which has a way to go yet until it gets near bottom. What we've seen so far is "stabilisation" things have stopped getting worse at such a frightening rate, but were years away from real economic recovery IMO.